Asian Cup | Round of 16
Jan 28, 2024 at 4pm UK
Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium
Tajikistan1 - 1UAE
Tajikistan win 5-3 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tajikistan 2-1 Lebanon
Monday, January 22 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Monday, January 22 at 3pm in Asian Cup
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: Iran 2-1 UAE
Tuesday, January 23 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Tuesday, January 23 at 3pm in Asian Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We say: Tajikistan 1-1 United Arab Emirates (Tajikistan advances on penalties)
Tajikistan are essentially playing with house money and have nothing to lose, which is not the case for the UAE who have unfinished business, falling at the penultimate hurdle over the past two Asian Cups. Based on recent form and how resilient Tajikistan have been against experienced sides at the Asian Cup, we believe they will keep a cool head when needed and pull off an upset. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%).
| Result | ||
| Tajikistan | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
43.14% ( -0.19) | 27.83% ( 0.01) | 29.02% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 46.53% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
