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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 6
May 5, 2023 at 4pm UK
Elisa Stadion

VPS
2 - 1
Mariehamn

Hudd (1'), Roberto (53')
Roberto (11'), Hudd (55'), Pikkarainen (70'), Lindeman (80')
Roberto (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hopcutt (71' pen.)
Cledson (18'), Ndom (59'), Suleman (90+5')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Vaasan Palloseura and IFK Mariehamn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Last Game: VPS 0-0 Honka
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Last Game: Mariehamn 0-2 KuPS
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.

Result
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawIFK Mariehamn
38.13% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 26.02% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 35.84% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.12% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.7% (-0.129 -0.13)50.3% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (-0.117 -0.12)72.24% (0.113 0.11)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)25.78% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)60.72% (0.061 0.06)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)27.08% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.12 -0.12)62.46% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Vaasan Palloseura 38.13%
    IFK Mariehamn 35.84%
    Draw 26.02%
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawIFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 9.46% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 38.13%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.84%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 1pm
gameweek 5
Mariehamn
2-2
VPS
Lahti (69'), Sjoroos (74')
Nissinen (43')
Multanen (38'), Reid (83')
Jul 9, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 13
VPS
1-3
Mariehamn
Pahkasalo (51')
Nuorela (82'), Yengi (87')
Cledson (26'), Hambo (75'), Latonen (88')
Mensah (63'), Raitanen (65')
May 29, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 10
Mariehamn
1-3
VPS
Latonen (78')
Lahti (57'), Felipe (62'), Wiklof (66')
Multanen (33', 38'), Sillah (64')
Engstrom (44'), Ahiabu (85'), Sillah (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1KuPSKuPS540146242256
2IlvesIlves550056272954
3HJK Helsinki502344271745
4SJKSJK51134644240
5Vaasan PalloseuraVPS52124345-239
6HakaHaka51044043-338
Relegation Round
1Inter Turku531146341241
2Gnistan52124043-337
3Oulu52123240-828
4IFK MariehamnMariehamn52032744-1726
5LahtiLahti51223147-1624
6Ekenas IFEIF51312457-3319
 
Regular Season
1KuPSKuPS22135439221744
2HJK Helsinki22134541212043
3IlvesIlves22116545252039
4SJKSJK2210664033736
5HakaHaka2210573532335
6Vaasan PalloseuraVPS229583436-232
7Inter Turku229493829931
8Gnistan228683234-230
9Oulu2256112636-1021
10IFK MariehamnMariehamn2255122038-1820
11LahtiLahti2231092638-1219
12Ekenas IFEIF2234151951-3213
> Finnish Veikkausliiga Full Table


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