Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.