Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 55.28%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 1-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.