MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:16:46| >> :600:245036:245036:
Congo DR national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote
Ethiopia national football team

Congo DR
1 - 2
Ethiopia

Batubinsika (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wolde Waza (36'), Nasir (90+6')
Baye (78'), Nasir (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo DR and Ethiopia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Congo DR
Saturday, November 16 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-2 Tanzania
Saturday, November 16 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Congo DR 2-0 Ethiopia

Ethiopia have been very poor in this AFCON qualifying campaign, putting up uninspiring performances, and that is not expected to change on Tuesday – this is why we believe that Congo DR's quality will see them prevail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.42%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Congo DRDrawEthiopia
52.92% (0.058 0.06) 27.84% (0.0010000000000012 0) 19.23% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 37.95% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.64% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)65.36% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.86% (-0.038 -0.04)84.14% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.75% (-0.104 -0.1)49.24% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.87% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)84.13% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Congo DR 52.91%
    Ethiopia 19.23%
    Draw 27.84%
Congo DRDrawEthiopia
1-0 @ 17.1% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 52.91%
0-0 @ 12.42% (0.02 0.02)
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.29% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.23%

How you voted: Congo DR vs Ethiopia

Congo DR
61.5%
Draw
38.5%
Ethiopia
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Ethiopia
0-2
Congo DR

Wolde Waza (17'), Belay (71'), Belye Demte (71')
Bongonda (62'), Mayele (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!