Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote
Congo DR1 - 2Ethiopia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Congo DR
Saturday, November 16 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, November 16 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-2 Tanzania
Saturday, November 16 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, November 16 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Congo DR 2-0 Ethiopia
Ethiopia have been very poor in this AFCON qualifying campaign, putting up uninspiring performances, and that is not expected to change on Tuesday – this is why we believe that Congo DR's quality will see them prevail. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.42%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Congo DR | Draw | Ethiopia |
52.92% ( 0.06) | 27.84% ( 0) | 19.23% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 37.95% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.64% ( -0.06) | 65.36% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.86% ( -0.04) | 84.14% ( 0.04) |
Congo DR Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.77% ( 0) | 25.23% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.02% ( 0) | 59.98% ( -0) |
Ethiopia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.75% ( -0.1) | 49.24% ( 0.1) |