We said: Guinea 2-1 Congo DR
Needing all three points to seal their spot in the 2025 AFCON, we expect Guinea to go all out at the Alassane Ouattara Ebimpe Olympic Stadium this weekend. While Congo DR are currently firing on all cylinders in the qualifiers, the Syli National are much improved since both sides clashed in September and we predict that they will come away with the desired result.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.07%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea.
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