Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.63%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 5.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
84.63% ( 0.1) | 10.07% ( -0.08) | 5.3% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.14% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.39% ( 0.41) | 24.61% ( -0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.59% ( 0.53) | 44.41% ( -0.54) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.95% ( 0.08) | 4.05% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.96% ( 0.27) | 17.03% ( -0.27) |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.26% ( 0.3) | 47.74% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.96% ( 0.22) | 83.04% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
3-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 7-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.22% Total : 84.62% | 1-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.83% Total : 10.07% | 1-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.18% Total : 5.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |