La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 12, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico1 - 0Osasuna
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Osasuna
It is difficult to see where Atletico's winning run will stop considering their performance level, and we are expecting Simeone's side to pick up the result that they need on Sunday to return to the top of the La Liga table. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 11.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
69.73% ( 0) | 18.54% | 11.73% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.01% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
