MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 16:52:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Mar 31, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
2 - 1
Deportivo Riestra

Morales (39'), Ramirez (73')
Rodriguez (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Herrera (64')
Celiz (52'), Ortiz (58')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Deportivo Riestra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, March 17 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 1-0 Independiente
Friday, March 15 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawDeportivo Riestra
51.52% (-0.102 -0.1) 27.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 21.1% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 41.21% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.59% (0.039000000000001 0.04)62.41% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.96% (0.028000000000002 0.03)82.04% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)24.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)59.03% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Deportivo Riestra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.62% (0.121 0.12)45.38% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.76% (0.096 0.1)81.24% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 51.51%
    Deportivo Riestra 21.1%
    Draw 27.37%
GimnasiaDrawDeportivo Riestra
1-0 @ 15.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 51.51%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.48% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.1%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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