Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Jul 7, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Gimnasia1 - 1Independiente
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (54')
Ortiz (16'), Elizalde (85')
Ortiz (16'), Elizalde (85')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-2 Gimnasia
Tuesday, July 4 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, July 4 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Huracan
Sunday, July 2 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, July 2 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Gimnasia 1-0 Independiente
Given that Independiente have lost five of their last six away league games while failing to win any of their previous 10, we expect Gimnasia to inflict a fourth successive away defeat on the Red Devils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 43.06%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.2%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gimnasia | Draw | Independiente |
43.06% ( -0.3) | 30.74% ( 0.13) | 26.2% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 37.86% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.03% ( -0.29) | 68.97% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.43% ( -0.19) | 86.57% ( 0.19) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.89% ( -0.32) | 32.11% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.41% ( -0.37) | 68.59% ( 0.37) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.77% ( -0.02) | 44.23% ( 0.02) |