MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 05:22:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Jul 28, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Sarmiento

River Plate
1 - 0
Sarmiento

FT(HT: 0-0)

Andrada (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Sarmiento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 River Plate
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Racing
Wednesday, July 24 at 9.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: River Plate 1-1 Sarmiento

Sarmiento have history and momentum in their favour for this one, despite River Plate's impressive record on home soil in the current campaign. The visitors have also been decent on the road in the current campaign, which is why we think that this match will likely end with the spoils shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 78.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.44%) and 3-0 (12.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawSarmiento
78.38% (0.14 0.14) 15.11% (-0.087 -0.09) 6.5% (-0.0561 -0.06)
Both teams to score 36.49% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (0.154 0.15)45.61% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (0.147 0.15)67.94% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.35% (0.071999999999989 0.07)9.64% (-0.075099999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.8% (0.17400000000001 0.17)32.19% (-0.176 -0.18)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.38% (-0.067 -0.07)59.61% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.55% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)90.45% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 78.36%
    Sarmiento 6.51%
    Draw 15.11%
River PlateDrawSarmiento
2-0 @ 15.72%
1-0 @ 13.44% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 12.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.17% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.35% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.74% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.31% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 78.36%
1-1 @ 6.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.11%
0-1 @ 2.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 1.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 6.51%

How you voted: River Plate vs Sarmiento

River Plate
69.2%
Draw
30.8%
Sarmiento
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Sarmiento
0-2
River Plate
Beltran (7' pen.), Palavecino (74')
Aug 1, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 11
River Plate
1-2
Sarmiento
Mammana (67')
Casco (27')
Mainero (31'), Andueza (45')
Mendez (25'), Meza (54'), Castro (82')
May 1, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 13
Sarmiento
0-7
River Plate
Mancilla (6'), Chicco (78'), Mainero (85')
Aug 30, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
Sarmiento
1-2
River Plate
Alanis (12')
Montoya (19'), Salvareschi (52'), Mancinelli (65')
Salvareschi (81')
Carrascal (34'), Perez (90+1')
Jeremias Fernandez (46'), Fontana (86'), Paradela (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!