MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 16:42:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 25
Oct 20, 2024 at 11am UK
Borisov Arena

BATE
3 - 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Aleksievich (30'), Rusenchik (53', 58')
Zhulpa (43'), Sotnikov (47'), Emmanuel Affi (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vegerya (44'), Godyaev (55')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between BATE Borisov and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 2-3 BATE
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0-4 Neman
Sunday, October 6 at 1pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.

Result
BATE BorisovDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
57.87% (-0.067 -0.07) 22.41% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 19.72% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.14% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)45.61% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.93% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)15.48% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.65% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)44.35% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (0.050000000000004 0.05)37.13% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.92% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    BATE Borisov 57.87%
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 19.72%
    Draw 22.41%
BATE BorisovDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 10.72%
2-0 @ 10% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.22% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 57.87%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.41%
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.26% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 19.72%

Head to Head
May 26, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 10
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2-0
BATE
Lovets (28'), Godyaev (32')
Harutyunyan (63'), Gerasimov (68'), Ageev (90+1')

Jimoh (30')
Nov 12, 2022 11am
Jul 15, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 15
BATE
1-2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Malkevich (14')
Bordachev (43'), Malkevich (78')
Vaskov (11'), Guletskiy (41')
Khvalko (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dinamo Minsk30208250133768
2Neman30205545192665
3Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ30188445212462
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest30147962372549
5Vitebsk30145113325847
6Gomel30111183728944
7IslochIsloch30118113630641
8BATE BorisovBATE30117123838040
9SlutskSlutsk30116132641-1539
10Arsenal Dzerzhinsk30108122936-738
11Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr30811112833-535
12Smorgon30711123351-1832
13FC MinskFC Minsk30610142844-1628
14Naftan30511142744-1726
15Dnepr Mogilev3039182758-3118
16Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk3057181945-262


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