Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Dinamo Minsk had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
