Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Neman had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Neman win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
