Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 54.55%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.