Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.