Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Sep 30, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo2 - 1Corinthians
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Corinthians.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Coritiba
Wednesday, September 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, September 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, September 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.89%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Corinthians |
65.7% ( 2.13) | 21.62% ( -0.77) | 12.68% ( -1.36) |
| Both teams to score 40.65% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
