MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 20:40:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
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VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
BayArena
Freiburg logo

B. Leverkusen
5 - 1
Freiburg

Schick (45+1', 67', 74', 77'), Wirtz (51')
Schick (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Grifo (55')
Kubler (24'), Rohl (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Wolfsburg
Friday, December 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen have looked much more resilient in recent weeks, and with most of their squad available, they should be considered favourites. Additionally, the hosts boast a phenomenal home record while Freiburg's form on the road has been poor, so it would not be surprising if Saturday's clash was relatively straightforward for Alonso's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
72.49% (0.17 0.17) 16.67% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 10.85% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.6% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.23% (0.252 0.25)37.77% (-0.247 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (0.269 0.27)60.02% (-0.264 -0.26)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.91% (0.105 0.11)9.1% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.1% (0.244 0.24)30.9% (-0.24 -0.24)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.66% (0.040999999999997 0.04)44.34% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.6% (0.030999999999999 0.03)80.4% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 72.49%
    Freiburg 10.85%
    Draw 16.67%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 11.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.53% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.55% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.51% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.66% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.17% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.016 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 72.49%
1-1 @ 7.86% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 16.67%
0-1 @ 3.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.85%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen
94.5%
Draw
3.6%
Freiburg
1.8%
55
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Freiburg
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Doan (10'), Keitel (79')
Hofler (72')
Wirtz (2'), Hlozek (40'), Schick (53')
Oct 29, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Freiburg
Wirtz (36'), Hofmann (60')
Gulde (70')
Kubler (14'), Streich (90+3'), Holer (90+4')
Feb 26, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
B. Leverkusen
2-3
Freiburg
Demirbay (16'), Schick (65')
Tah (5'), Amiri (82')
Ginter (48'), Gregoritsch (51'), Doan (72')
Hofler (34'), Gregoritsch (53')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Freiburg
Alario (54'), Palacios (90+7')
Diaby (18'), Baumgartlinger (26')
Haberer (88')
Eggestein (3'), Schlotterbeck (43'), Sildillia (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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