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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
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B. Leverkusen
5 - 1
Freiburg

Schick (45+1', 67', 74', 77'), Wirtz (51')
Schick (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Grifo (55')
Kubler (24'), Rohl (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Wolfsburg
Friday, December 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Freiburg

 Bayer Leverkusen have looked much more resilient in recent weeks, and with most of their squad available, they should be considered favourites. Additionally, the hosts boast a phenomenal home record while Freiburg's form on the road has been poor, so it would not be surprising if Saturday's clash was relatively straightforward for Alonso's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
72.49% (0.17 0.17) 16.67% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 10.85% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.6% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.23% (0.252 0.25)37.77% (-0.247 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (0.269 0.27)60.02% (-0.264 -0.26)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.91% (0.105 0.11)9.1% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.1% (0.244 0.24)30.9% (-0.24 -0.24)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.66% (0.040999999999997 0.04)44.34% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.6% (0.030999999999999 0.03)80.4% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 72.49%
    Freiburg 10.85%
    Draw 16.67%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 11.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.53% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.55% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.51% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.66% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.17% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.016 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 72.49%
1-1 @ 7.86% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 16.67%
0-1 @ 3.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.85%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen
94.5%
Draw
3.6%
Freiburg
1.8%
55
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Freiburg
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Doan (10'), Keitel (79')
Hofler (72')
Wirtz (2'), Hlozek (40'), Schick (53')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Freiburg
Wirtz (36'), Hofmann (60')
Gulde (70')
Kubler (14'), Streich (90+3'), Holer (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Freiburg
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Grifo (29')
Azmoun (67')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
B. Leverkusen
2-3
Freiburg
Demirbay (16'), Schick (65')
Tah (5'), Amiri (82')
Ginter (48'), Gregoritsch (51'), Doan (72')
Hofler (34'), Gregoritsch (53')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Freiburg
Alario (54'), Palacios (90+7')
Diaby (18'), Baumgartlinger (26')
Haberer (88')
Eggestein (3'), Schlotterbeck (43'), Sildillia (77')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


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