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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Freiburg
3 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Holer (41', 63'), Doan (49')
Hofler (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kleindienst (61')
Hack (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 4-0 Freiburg
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 3-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Freiburg will come into the clash full of confidence given their strong performances of late, and they will feel they can take advantage of a struggling Borussia Monchengladbach side. Additionally, the visitors will be weakened by the absence of those who received suspensions last time out, and it is difficult to see how they avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
47.67% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04) 22.12% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 30.22% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 66.12% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.2% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)33.8% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.36% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)55.64% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)14.72% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.07% (-0.058 -0.06)42.93% (0.058 0.06)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.47% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 47.67%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 30.22%
    Draw 22.12%
FreiburgDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 47.67%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 30.22%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Borussia M'bach

Freiburg
76.1%
Draw
17.4%
Borussia Monchengladbach
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Borussia M'bach
0-3
Freiburg

Itakura (32')
Gregoritsch (7'), Rohl (47'), Doan (57')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Freiburg
3-3
Borussia M'bach
Holer (7'), Weisshaupt (70'), Grifo (90+6' pen.)
Lienhart (37'), Ginter (50')
Siebatcheu (25'), Plea (29'), Weigl (39' pen.)
Netz (79'), Weigl (90+1')
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 11, 2022 4.30pm
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
Freiburg
3-3
Borussia M'bach
Grifo (49' pen.), Gunter (61'), Lienhart (80')
Eggestein (73')
Bensebaini (3' pen.), Embolo (13'), Stindl (90+3')
Plea (59'), Kone (65'), Stindl (79'), Bensebaini (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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