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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
47.67% ( -0.04) | 22.12% ( 0.01) | 30.22% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 66.12% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.2% ( -0.04) | 33.8% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.36% ( -0.05) | 55.64% ( 0.05) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.28% ( -0.03) | 14.72% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.07% ( -0.06) | 42.93% ( 0.06) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( -0) | 22.47% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.98% ( -0) | 56.02% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Freiburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Stuttgart | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
15 | St Pauli | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 2 |
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