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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-3 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
14.67% | 17.71% | 67.61% |
Both teams to score 59.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.23% | 32.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.54% | 54.46% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.86% | 35.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.11% | 71.89% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.08% | 8.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.54% | 30.46% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 4.14% 1-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 1.75% 2-0 @ 1.71% 3-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.36% Total : 14.67% | 1-1 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 5.01% 0-0 @ 3.13% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.71% | 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 9.16% 1-3 @ 7.72% 0-1 @ 7.57% 0-3 @ 7.38% 1-4 @ 4.67% 0-4 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 4.04% 2-4 @ 2.44% 1-5 @ 2.26% 0-5 @ 2.16% 2-5 @ 1.18% 1-6 @ 0.91% Other @ 4.11% Total : 67.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |