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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.82%) and 1-3 (6.59%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayern Munich |
24.79% ( -0.84) | 20.94% ( -0.29) | 54.26% ( 1.12) |
Both teams to score 65.63% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.56% ( 0.58) | 32.43% ( -0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.93% ( 0.67) | 54.07% ( -0.67) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.73% ( -0.28) | 25.27% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.97% ( -0.39) | 60.03% ( 0.38) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.82% ( 0.52) | 12.18% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.18% ( 1.09) | 37.81% ( -1.09) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.79% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.59% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 3.47% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.09) 3-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) 2-5 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.68% Total : 54.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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