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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
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Borussia M'bach
0 - 1
Bayern


Scally (53'), Ullrich (66'), Weigl (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kane (68' pen.)
Min-jae (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 0-6 Bayern
Monday, January 6 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-3 Bayern Munich

 Die Fohlen may prove to be a difficult test for Bayern to overcome due to the hosts' strong record at Borussia Park, but Kompany will be confident that his side can take all three points given their attacking potency. It would not be surprising if the Bavarians initially struggled to break down their opponents' low block before creating significantly more opportunities should they take the lead, as Borussia Monchengladbach would be forced to leave more space behind their defence in search of an equaliser. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.82%) and 1-3 (6.59%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
24.79% (-0.838 -0.84) 20.94% (-0.288 -0.29) 54.26% (1.123 1.12)
Both teams to score 65.63% (0.14200000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.56% (0.577 0.58)32.43% (-0.579 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.93% (0.666 0.67)54.07% (-0.669 -0.67)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-0.283 -0.28)25.27% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (-0.388 -0.39)60.03% (0.385 0.38)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (0.518 0.52)12.18% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.18% (1.086 1.09)37.81% (-1.089 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 24.79%
    Bayern Munich 54.26%
    Draw 20.94%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-0 @ 4.23% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.91% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.79%
1-1 @ 8.91% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.08% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 2.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.94%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.59% (0.14 0.14)
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.79% (0.139 0.14)
2-3 @ 4.53% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.47% (0.141 0.14)
0-4 @ 2.52% (0.122 0.12)
2-4 @ 2.39% (0.079 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.46% (0.087 0.09)
3-4 @ 1.09% (0.027 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.06% (0.072 0.07)
2-5 @ 1% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 54.26%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Bayern

Borussia Monchengladbach
18.5%
Draw
14.1%
Bayern Munich
67.4%
92
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
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3-1
Borussia M'bach
Pavlovic (45'), Kane (70'), De Ligt (86')
Elvedi (35')
Neuhaus (30')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Borussia M'bach
1-2
Bayern
Itakura (30')
Sane (58'), Tel (87')
Mazraoui (22'), Coman (60')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Borussia M'bach
3-2
Bayern
Stindl (13'), Hofmann (55'), Thuram (84')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (35'), Tel (90+3')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bayern
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Sane (83')
Kimmich (63'), Sabitzer (64'), Sane (80'), Nagelsmann (81'), Pavard (90+5')
Thuram (43')
Plea (37'), Kramer (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
1-2
Borussia M'bach
Lewandowski (18')
Neuhaus (27'), Lainer (31')
Stindl (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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