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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
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Borussia M'bach
0 - 1
Bayern


Scally (53'), Ullrich (66'), Weigl (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kane (68' pen.)
Min-jae (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 0-6 Bayern
Monday, January 6 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-3 Bayern Munich

 Die Fohlen may prove to be a difficult test for Bayern to overcome due to the hosts' strong record at Borussia Park, but Kompany will be confident that his side can take all three points given their attacking potency. It would not be surprising if the Bavarians initially struggled to break down their opponents' low block before creating significantly more opportunities should they take the lead, as Borussia Monchengladbach would be forced to leave more space behind their defence in search of an equaliser. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.82%) and 1-3 (6.59%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
24.79% (-0.838 -0.84) 20.94% (-0.288 -0.29) 54.26% (1.123 1.12)
Both teams to score 65.63% (0.14200000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.56% (0.577 0.58)32.43% (-0.579 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.93% (0.666 0.67)54.07% (-0.669 -0.67)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-0.283 -0.28)25.27% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (-0.388 -0.39)60.03% (0.385 0.38)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (0.518 0.52)12.18% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.18% (1.086 1.09)37.81% (-1.089 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 24.79%
    Bayern Munich 54.26%
    Draw 20.94%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-0 @ 4.23% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.91% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.79%
1-1 @ 8.91% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.08% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 2.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.94%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.59% (0.14 0.14)
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.79% (0.139 0.14)
2-3 @ 4.53% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.47% (0.141 0.14)
0-4 @ 2.52% (0.122 0.12)
2-4 @ 2.39% (0.079 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.46% (0.087 0.09)
3-4 @ 1.09% (0.027 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.06% (0.072 0.07)
2-5 @ 1% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 54.26%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Bayern

Borussia Monchengladbach
18.5%
Draw
14.1%
Bayern Munich
67.4%
92
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Bayern
3-1
Borussia M'bach
Pavlovic (45'), Kane (70'), De Ligt (86')
Elvedi (35')
Neuhaus (30')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Borussia M'bach
1-2
Bayern
Itakura (30')
Sane (58'), Tel (87')
Mazraoui (22'), Coman (60')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Borussia M'bach
3-2
Bayern
Stindl (13'), Hofmann (55'), Thuram (84')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (35'), Tel (90+3')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bayern
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Sane (83')
Kimmich (63'), Sabitzer (64'), Sane (80'), Nagelsmann (81'), Pavard (90+5')
Thuram (43')
Plea (37'), Kramer (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
Bayern
1-2
Borussia M'bach
Lewandowski (18')
Neuhaus (27'), Lainer (31')
Stindl (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


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