MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 10:15:19| >> :120:28442:28442:
Shakhtar Donetsk
Champions League | League Stage
Dec 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
VELTINS-Arena
Bayern logo

Shakhtar
1 - 5
Bayern

Kevin (5')
Kryskiv (55'), Traore (82')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Laimer (11'), Muller (45'), Olise (70' pen., 90+3'), Musiala (87')
Sane (7'), Goretzka (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inhulets 0-0 Shakhtar
Saturday, May 17 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-3 Bayern Munich

Bayern could take some time to settle into the game considering they have a number of injury absentees in their defence and attack, and it would be surprising if they managed to keep a clean sheet. However, Shakhtar have proven to be defensively vulnerable in the Champions League, and it is difficult to see how they overcome the visitors' quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawBayern Munich
33.76% (0.0039999999999978 0) 23.71% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 42.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.9% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)40.04% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)62.41% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.45% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54% (-0.012 -0.01)57.46% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)19.14% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.21% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)50.79% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 33.76%
    Bayern Munich 42.53%
    Draw 23.71%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 33.76%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 8.9%
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 3.38%
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 42.53%

How you voted: Shakhtar vs Bayern

Shakhtar Donetsk
15.4%
Draw
8.3%
Bayern Munich
76.3%
156
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2015 7.45pm
Feb 17, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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