Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
FC Koln1 - 0Freiburg
We said: FC Koln 1-1 Freiburg
These two sides head into their clash with very similar styles and similar success so far this campaign, with both being so well organised and difficult to beat. As a result, we are predicting for these sides to finish as they did in September, with a 1-1 draw to share the points in an evenly-matched encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg |
| 47.09% | 23.77% | 29.14% |
| Both teams to score 59.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
