Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz0 - 1Werder Bremen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-0 Mainz
Friday, January 26 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, January 26 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 1-2 Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen cruised to victory in their last meeting with Mainz, but a tighter affair could be on the cards on Saturday, with the onus being on the hosts to take to game to the visitors as they bid to end their miserable winless run. The two sides have struggled to keep clean sheets this term so there could be plenty of goalmouth action at both ends, but Bremen seem to have the greater threat in the final third and should ultimately find a way to outscore their opponents en route to claiming another three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
51.59% ( 1.44) | 23.75% ( 0.17) | 24.66% ( -1.61) |
| Both teams to score 55.48% ( -2.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( -2.16) | 45.72% ( 2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( -2.09) | 68.04% ( 2.09) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.26% ( -0.27) | 17.73% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.59% ( -0.47) | 48.41% ( 0.47) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( -2.44) | 32.56% ( 2.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.91% ( -2.83) | 69.09% ( 2.83) |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 51.59%
Werder Bremen 24.66%
Draw 23.74%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.63)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.52% Total : 24.66% |
How you voted: Mainz vs Werder Bremen
Mainz 05
20.8%Draw
16.7%Werder Bremen
62.5%24
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Werder Bremen
4-0
Mainz
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Form Guide
