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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Union Berlin |
52.71% ( 0.03) | 25.17% ( -0.01) | 22.11% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.04% ( -0.01) | 53.95% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% ( -0.01) | 75.4% ( 0) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( 0.01) | 20.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% ( 0.02) | 52.93% ( -0.02) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.55% ( -0.03) | 39.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.86% ( -0.03) | 76.13% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.57% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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