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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Stuttgart

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Stuttgart

Szoboszlai (25', 49')
Rose (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fuhrich (68' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 1-6 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, January 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 3-0 Stuttgart

With Stuttgart likely to be missing key personnel through injury and suspension, we expect Leipzig's impressive run of results to continue with a comfortable victory on Friday night. Rose's side are unbeaten in 15 matches in all competitions and appear to be Bayern's biggest threat at the top of the table on current form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.72%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 14.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
67.72% (0.0010000000000048 0) 17.96% (0.0010000000000012 0) 14.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 57.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)34.82% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.79% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.56%9.44% (0.0010999999999992 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.29%31.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)36.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)73.73% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.72%
    Stuttgart 14.32%
    Draw 17.96%
RB LeipzigDrawStuttgart
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.61%
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.12%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 67.72%
1-1 @ 8.19%
2-2 @ 4.82%
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.96%
1-2 @ 4.08%
0-1 @ 3.47%
0-2 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 14.32%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart

RB Leipzig
84.4%
Draw
10.9%
Stuttgart
4.7%
128
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
RB Leipzig
Ahamada (31')
Wamangituka (64'), Mola (90+4')
Nkunku (8')
Sorloth (87')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
0-2
RB Leipzig

Coulibaly (8'), Tibidi (53'), Matarazzo (55'), Kalajdzic (90+2')
Silva (11' pen.), Nkunku (70')
Poulsen (55')
Aug 20, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
Stuttgart
Szoboszlai (38', 52'), Forsberg (46'), Silva (65' pen.)

Kempf (64'), Forster (68'), Mavropanos (71')
Apr 25, 2021 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-0
Stuttgart
Haidara (46'), Forsberg (67' pen.)
Konate (24'), Henrichs (76')

Ahamada (14')
Jan 2, 2021 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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