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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Stuttgart |
52.82% ( 0.09) | 22.32% ( 0.02) | 24.86% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 60.61% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.96% ( -0.18) | 39.04% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.64% ( -0.19) | 61.36% ( 0.19) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.12% ( -0.03) | 14.88% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.77% ( -0.06) | 43.22% ( 0.06) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.2% ( -0.18) | 28.8% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.35% ( -0.22) | 64.65% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.15% 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 4.06% Total : 52.82% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 24.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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