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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
36.45% ( -0.03) | 25.59% ( -0.02) | 37.96% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.66% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.66% ( 0.1) | 48.34% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.52% ( 0.09) | 70.48% ( -0.08) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.19% ( 0.03) | 25.81% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( 0.04) | 60.77% ( -0.03) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.03% ( 0.08) | 24.97% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.38% ( 0.1) | 59.62% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.45% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 37.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 51 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Stuttgart | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Freiburg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 29 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
12 | Augsburg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
13 | St Pauli | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 10 |
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