MX23RW : Tuesday, February 4 00:41:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Leverkusen logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Raum (41'), Tapsoba (85' og.)
Simons (79'), Baumgartner (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Schick (18'), Garcia (36')
Andrich (40'), Tapsoba (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, January 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: RB Leipzig 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Leipzig could find some success in the final third given their nominal front two are set to return to league action, and their record at home suggests that they will be difficult to overcome. However, Leverkusen are in fine form, and it is hard to see how the hosts can keep their opponents at bay, especially as they have been vulnerable defensively in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
33.08% (-3.301 -3.3) 23.69% (-0.123 -0.12) 43.23% (3.431 3.43)
Both teams to score 61.74% (-0.362 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.85% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)40.15% (0.144 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.48% (-0.143 -0.14)62.52% (0.148 0.15)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-1.854 -1.85)23.88% (1.86 1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92% (-2.736 -2.74)58.09% (2.741 2.74)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (1.469 1.47)18.89% (-1.464 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63% (2.387 2.39)50.37% (-2.382 -2.38)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 33.08%
    Bayer Leverkusen 43.23%
    Draw 23.68%
RB LeipzigDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.459 -0.46)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.321 -0.32)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.505 -0.51)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.38 -0.38)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.241 -0.24)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.08%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.378 0.38)
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.384 0.38)
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.585 0.59)
1-3 @ 4.98% (0.423 0.42)
2-3 @ 3.57% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.466 0.47)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.261 0.26)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.114 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.25 0.25)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 43.23%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs B. Leverkusen

RB Leipzig
14.8%
Draw
14.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
70.5%
61
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
B. Leverkusen
2-3
RB Leipzig
Frimpong (39'), Grimaldo (45')
Boniface (12'), Frimpong (18'), Tapsoba (82')
Kampl (45+7'), Openda (57', 80')
Rose (26'), Klostermann (61')
Rose (26')
Jan 20, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Simons (7'), Openda (56')
Simons (71'), Schlager (87')
Tella (47'), Tah (63'), Hincapie (90+1')
Tah (12'), Alonso (34'), Stanisic (38'), Wirtz (66')
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
B. Leverkusen
3-2
RB Leipzig
Frimpong (24'), Tah (35'), Wirtz (64')
Okoh Boniface (69')
Olmo (39'), Openda (71')
Seiwald (62'), Lukeba (81')
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen20136149272245
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt20115445271838
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Wolfsburg208574335829
11Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim2046102640-1418
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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