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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
33.08% ( -3.3) | 23.69% ( -0.12) | 43.23% ( 3.43) |
Both teams to score 61.74% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.85% ( -0.14) | 40.15% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.48% ( -0.14) | 62.52% ( 0.15) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( -1.85) | 23.88% ( 1.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.92% ( -2.74) | 58.09% ( 2.74) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.11% ( 1.47) | 18.89% ( -1.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.63% ( 2.39) | 50.37% ( -2.38) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.46) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.51) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.44) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.38) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.08% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.59) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.42) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.47) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.26) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.25) Other @ 3.43% Total : 43.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 51 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 45 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 38 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Stuttgart | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Freiburg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 29 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
13 | St Pauli | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |