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VfL Bochum
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Feb 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Dortmund logo

VfL Bochum
1 - 2
Dortmund

Stoger (64' pen.)
Janko (39'), Stoger (44'), Antwi-Adjej (75'), Riemann (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Can (45+1'), Reus (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between VfL Bochum and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: VfL Bochum 5-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dortmund 5-1 Freiburg
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

 Bochum's imperious home form since appointing Letsch should see them be highly competitive in this match, especially if Terzic decides to heavily rotate ahead of important league and European fixtures. However, Dortmund will want to maintain their excellent record in the DFB-Pokal from recent seasons, especially as it represents their best chance of winning a trophy this season despite their excellent form of late suggesting that higher ambitions may be realistic. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawBorussia Dortmund
28.01% (0.179 0.18) 20.69% (-0.026 -0.03) 51.3% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 69.93% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.8% (0.27 0.27)28.19% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.02% (0.336 0.34)48.98% (-0.33900000000001 -0.34)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (0.24600000000001 0.25)20.91% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (0.385 0.38)53.63% (-0.388 -0.39)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.42% (0.049000000000007 0.05)11.58% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.45% (0.10899999999999 0.11)36.54% (-0.11000000000001 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 28.01%
    Borussia Dortmund 51.3%
    Draw 20.69%
VfL BochumDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.79% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.021 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 28.01%
1-1 @ 8.17% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.89% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.58% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.42% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.69%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.22% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 4.95% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 2.67% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.39% (0.02 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.15% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 51.3%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Dortmund

VfL Bochum
12.9%
Draw
5.4%
Borussia Dortmund
81.6%
147
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-0
VfL Bochum
Moukoko (8', 45+2'), Reyna (12' pen.)

Gamboa (54')
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-4
VfL Bochum
Braut Haaland (18' pen., 30' pen., 62')
Bellingham (24'), Brandt (54'), Rothe (89'), Papadopoulos (90+3')
Polter (3'), Holtmann (8'), Locadia (81'), Pantovic (85' pen.)
Losilla (31'), Masovic (35'), Zoller (90+2')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
1-1
Dortmund
Polter (40' pen.)
Brandt (85')
Schulz (57'), Hummels (58'), Zagadou (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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