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Champions League
Dynamo Kiev
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2022 at 7pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj

Dynamo Kiev
1 - 0
Sturm Graz

Karavaev (28')
Popov (21'), Shepelev (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wuthrich (16'), Gorenc Stankovic (42'), Hierlander (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Dynamo Kiev and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Kiev

Last Six:
Last Game: Everton 3-0 Dynamo Kiev
Friday, July 29 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Sturm Graz

Last Six:
    Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-1 Galatasaray
    Saturday, July 9 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

    We said: Dynamo Kiev 1-1 Sturm Graz

     Sturm Graz have started the new season as they mean to go on and should play without fear after getting the better of Salzburg, but Dynamo Kiev will prove a stern test as ever. Lucescu's tight-knit squad needed extra time and an extra man to eventually get the better of Fenerbahce, but we just cannot separate the two squads here and expect the tie to be settled in the second leg. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

    Result
    Dynamo KievDrawSturm Graz
    30.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 28.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 41.46% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
    Both teams to score 45.13% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    39.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)60.99% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    19.01% (0.016000000000002 0.02)80.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
    Dynamo Kiev Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    63.54% (0.011000000000003 0.01)36.46% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    26.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73.24% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
    Sturm Graz Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    71.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)28.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    35.14% (0.019999999999996 0.02)64.86% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
    Score Analysis
        Dynamo Kiev 30.02%
        Sturm Graz 41.46%
        Draw 28.51%
    Dynamo KievDrawSturm Graz
    1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    2-1 @ 6.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
    2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    3-1 @ 2.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    3-0 @ 1.81%
    3-2 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    Other @ 1.89%
    Total : 30.02%
    		1-1 @ 13.2%
    0-0 @ 10.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    2-2 @ 4.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
    Other @ 0.62%
    Total : 28.51%
    		0-1 @ 13.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    1-2 @ 8.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    0-2 @ 8.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
    1-3 @ 3.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    0-3 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    2-3 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
    1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
    0-4 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    Other @ 1.58%
    Total : 41.46%

    How you voted: Dynamo Kiev vs Sturm Graz

    Dynamo Kiev
    62.6%
    Draw
    23.7%
    Sturm Graz
    13.7%
    139
    rhs 2.0
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