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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Bristol City

Cardiff
2 - 0
Bristol City

Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Ipswich
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Bristol City

Bristol City are bound to fight resiliently, as they have throughout the season with each of their last five games finishing with a one-goal margin, but their defensive options are almost exhausted, and with home advantage and the confidence from their dominant midweek display, we envisage the Bluebirds coming out on top in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
45.99%26.71% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 27.3% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.66% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.22% (0.215 0.21)55.78% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09% (0.174 0.17)76.91% (-0.172 -0.17)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (0.094999999999999 0.09)24.21% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45% (0.133 0.13)58.55% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (0.157 0.16)35.79% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (0.16 0.16)72.57% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 45.99%
    Bristol City 27.3%
    Draw 26.7%
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.3%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City

Cardiff City
72.4%
Draw
24.1%
Bristol City
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
0-2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')
Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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