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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
43.04% ( -0.18) | 26.16% ( 0.13) | 30.81% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.34% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.02% ( -0.51) | 51.98% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.28% ( -0.44) | 73.72% ( 0.44) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.02% ( -0.31) | 23.98% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.78% ( -0.44) | 58.22% ( 0.44) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.85% ( -0.22) | 31.15% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.52% ( -0.26) | 67.48% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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