Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Cardiff City
Despite the heartbreaking nature of the defeat at Leicester, there were plenty of positives to take from the performance for Birmingham, who simply need to pick up points at St Andrew's over the next week.
Cardiff's season is all but over, and we can envisage the visitors producing another limp performance on Wednesday night to continue their poor run of form.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.04% . A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.62%) . The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood .
Result Birmingham City Draw Cardiff City 43.04% ( -0.18) 26.16% ( 0.13) 30.81% ( 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.34% ( -0.38)
48.02% ( -0.51) 51.98% ( 0.51)
26.28% ( -0.44) 73.72% ( 0.44)
76.02% ( -0.31) 23.98% ( 0.31)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.78% ( -0.44) 58.22% ( 0.44)
68.85% ( -0.22) 31.15% ( 0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.52% ( -0.26) 67.48% ( 0.26)
Birmingham City 43.03%
Cardiff City 30.81%
Draw 26.16%
Birmingham City Draw Cardiff City 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.03% 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.81%
How you voted: Birmingham vs Cardiff
Birmingham City
Draw
Cardiff City
86
rhs 2.0
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