Derby1 - 2Blackburn
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
32.95% | 29.27% | 37.78% |
Both teams to score 43.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.1% | 62.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.6% | 82.39% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% | 35.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.91% | 72.08% |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.89% | 32.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.42% | 68.58% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.1% Total : 32.94% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.26% | 0-1 @ 12.88% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.77% |