MX23RW : Monday, January 20 18:34:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
Blackburn logo

Derby
1 - 2
Blackburn

Davies (89')
Shinnie (29'), Lawrence (50')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brereton Diaz (8', 20')
Lenihan (59'), Buckley (85'), Khadra (88'), Poveda (89'), Travis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBlackburn Rovers
32.95%29.27%37.78%
Both teams to score 43.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.1%62.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.6%82.39%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67%35.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91%72.08%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89%32.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42%68.58%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 32.94%
    Blackburn Rovers 37.77%
    Draw 29.26%
Derby CountyDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 32.94%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.26%
0-1 @ 12.88%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 7.32%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 37.77%

How you voted: Derby vs Blackburn

Derby County
Draw
Blackburn Rovers
Derby County
40.0%
Draw
17.1%
Blackburn Rovers
42.9%
70
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 42
Blackburn
2-1
Derby
Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')
Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
0-4
Blackburn

Buchanan (33'), Rooney (80')
Dolan (11'), Johnson (12', 15'), Armstrong (78')
Johnson (36'), Lenihan (42'), Rothwell (66')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
1-0
Derby
Armstrong (57')
Evans (62')

Lawrence (18')
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Blackburn
2-0
Derby
Rothwell (76'), Dack (92')
Bennett (51'), Travis (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!