MX23RW : Monday, January 27 20:21:50| >> :600:843449:843449:
Norwich logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Brighton logo

Norwich
0 - 4
Brighton

FT(HT: 0-2)
Rutter (37', 45+2'), Enciso (59'), March (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Norwich City and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Coventry
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Arsenal
Saturday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Both encounters between Norwich and Brighton in 2021-22 might have ended scoreless, but goals ought to be a guarantee between the confident Canaries and a Seagulls side who can always be relied upon to produce the attacking goods on the road. A depleted Seagulls defence is at serious risk of being exposed by Thorup's men, but the visitors should be able to fight fire with fire at the other end of the pitch to enter the pot for round four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
44.04% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 22.93% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 33.02% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 64.53% (-0.31099999999999 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52% (-0.393 -0.39)36.48% (0.389 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (-0.431 -0.43)58.62% (0.427 0.43)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (-0.152 -0.15)17.08% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73% (-0.265 -0.27)47.26% (0.261 0.26)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (-0.235 -0.23)22.18% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (-0.354 -0.35)55.58% (0.35100000000001 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 44.04%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 33.02%
    Draw 22.93%
Norwich CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54%
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Norwich vs Brighton

Norwich City
19.0%
Draw
13.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
67.2%
58
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Brighton
0-0
Norwich
Lamptey (68')
McLean (82')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Norwich
0-0
Brighton
Kabak (30'), Giannoulis (50'), Pukki (75')
Veltman (15'), Lallana (24'), Cucurella (41'), Duffy (90+2'), Burn (90+4')
Jul 4, 2020 12.30pm
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Norwich
1-1
Brighton
Watkins (42')
Gross (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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