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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Millwall logo

Norwich
2 - 1
Millwall

Marcondes (4'), Schwartau (39')
Ben Slimane (62'), Schwartau (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Esse (65')
Leonard (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Millwall

While Norwich are experiencing a difficult run of form, they tend to perform well in home games with Millwall, and we think that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory to extend their unbeaten record head-to-head home meetings to 21 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
45.12% (-0.353 -0.35) 25.89% (-0.132 -0.13) 28.99% (0.485 0.48)
Both teams to score 52.23% (0.716 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.31% (0.785 0.78)51.69% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (0.679 0.68)73.46% (-0.678 -0.68)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.172 0.17)22.84% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.252 0.25)56.57% (-0.253 -0.25)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (0.77799999999999 0.78)32.31% (-0.777 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (0.868 0.87)68.81% (-0.869 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.12%
    Millwall 28.99%
    Draw 25.88%
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 45.12%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Norwich vs Millwall

Norwich City
64.5%
Draw
19.7%
Millwall
15.8%
76
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Millwall
1-0
Norwich
Bradshaw (18')
Cooper (61'), Honeyman (81'), Watmore (90+1'), Leonard (90+2')
Saville (88')

Barnes (60'), McLean (75'), Sargent (81'), Idah (90+3'), Nunez (90+8')
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 3
Norwich
3-1
Millwall
Rowe (25'), Sargent (49'), Barnes (56')
Rowe (45+1'), Omobamidele (90+3')
Emakhu (90+1')
Mitchell (45+1')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
2-3
Norwich
Bradshaw (20'), Flemming (83')
Sorensen (38'), Bradshaw (55' og.), Sara (65')
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
2-0
Millwall
Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 26
Millwall
0-0
Norwich
McLean (83'), (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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