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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
41.54% ( -0.04) | 25.38% ( 0.01) | 33.07% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.73% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.02% ( -0.04) | 47.98% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.85% ( -0.04) | 70.15% ( 0.03) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.03% ( -0.04) | 22.96% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.25% ( -0.05) | 56.75% ( 0.05) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% ( 0) | 27.65% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.81% ( 0) | 63.19% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.54% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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