Chinese Super League | Gameweek 23
Nov 4, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Workers' Stadium
Beijing Guoan2 - 1Henan
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Henan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 4-1 Guangzhou
Saturday, October 29 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Saturday, October 29 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Shenzhen 0-2 Henan
Saturday, October 29 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Saturday, October 29 at 12pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
37
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
43.02% ( 0.29) | 26.82% ( -0.03) | 30.16% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
