Copa America | Quarter-Finals

Jul 5, 2024 at 2am UK

NRG Stadium

Argentina
vs.
Ecuador

Preview

Data Analysis

Predicted XI

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa America clash between Argentina and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Thursday's Copa America clash with Ecuador.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Peru
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Ecuador

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Argentina win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw has a probability of 24.1% and a win for Ecuador has a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Ecuador win it is 0-1 (6.75%).

Result
Argentina	Draw	Ecuador
57.34%	24.07%	18.59%

Both teams to score 46.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.19%

53.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.72%

75.28%

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.39%

18.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.11%

49.89%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.85%

43.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.58%

79.42%

Score Analysis

Argentina 57.33%

Ecuador 18.59%

Draw 24.07%

Argentina	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 13.5% 2-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 5.35% 4-0 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.11% Total : 57.33%	1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 6.75% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.59%