MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:47:23| >> :60:36:36:
Paraguay national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2024 at 2am UK
Allegiant Stadium
Brazil national football team

Paraguay
1 - 4
Brazil

Alderete (48')
Balbuena (45+3'), Caballero (90+3')
Cubas (81')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Junior (35', 45+5'), Savio (43'), Paqueta (65' pen.)
Wendell (45+3'), Paqueta (70'), Junior (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa America clash between Paraguay and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Friday's Copa America clash with Paraguay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Paraguay
Monday, June 24 at 11pm in Copa America

Brazil

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Brazil 0-0 Costa Rica
Tuesday, June 25 at 2am in Copa America

We said: Paraguay 0-2 Brazil

 Their opening game could be the wakeup call Brazil need, and although they are young there is too much attacking talent for us to believe Selecao will be held off the scoresheet once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.06%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Paraguay win it was 1-0 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
ParaguayDrawBrazil
12.11% (0.041 0.04) 21.08% (0.012 0.01) 66.8% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Both teams to score 40.57% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (0.045999999999999 0.05)53.52% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (0.041 0.04)75.03% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.85% (0.102 0.1)52.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.9% (0.065999999999999 0.07)86.1% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78%15.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 12.11%
    Brazil 66.8%
    Draw 21.08%
ParaguayDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 5.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.17% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.68% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 12.11%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 14.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 14.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.83% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 4.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.56% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 66.8%

How you voted: Paraguay vs Brazil

Paraguay
7.0%
Draw
14.0%
Brazil
79.1%
172
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2022 12.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
4-0
Paraguay
Arzamendia (20'), Gonzalez (45+5'), Alonso (78')
> Preview
Jun 9, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-2
Brazil
Gomez (21'), Bareiro (87'), Alonso (88'), Alderete (88')
Fred (43'), Jesus (76')
> Preview
Jun 28, 2019 1.30am
Quarter-Finals
Brazil
0-0
Paraguay
> Match Report
Jun 9, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Brazil
P-P
Paraguay
Mar 29, 2017 1.45am
Group Stage
Brazil
3-0
Paraguay
Coutinho (34'), Neymar (64'), Marcelo (86')
rhs 2.0
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