MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 06:04:16| >> :120:8053:8053:
Flamengo
Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Oct 3, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Corinthians

Flamengo
1 - 0
Corinthians

Sandro (32')
Ortiz (35'), Wesley (48'), Pulgar (59'), Barbosa (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romero (29'), Hugo (62'), Andres Martinez (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Flamengo and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Athletico PR
Monday, September 30 at 12am in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 1-0 Corinthians

 Luis may be inexperienced as a manager at this level, but he knows what it takes to win matches in this competition, and we have confidence he will get the best of his players in the opening leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawCorinthians
63.46% (1.279 1.28) 21.74% (-0.515 -0.52) 14.8% (-0.762 -0.76)
Both teams to score 45.5% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (0.665 0.66)50.75% (-0.664 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35% (0.583 0.58)72.65% (-0.583 -0.58)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62% (0.64700000000001 0.65)15.38% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.83% (1.197 1.2)44.17% (-1.195 -1.2)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.77% (-0.666 -0.67)46.22% (0.666 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.1% (-0.519 -0.52)81.9% (0.52 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 63.45%
    Corinthians 14.8%
    Draw 21.74%
FlamengoDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 13.31% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 12.45% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.77% (0.305 0.31)
3-1 @ 6% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 3.64% (0.22 0.22)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.11 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 63.45%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 21.74%
0-1 @ 5.49% (-0.254 -0.25)
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-2 @ 2.12% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 14.8%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Corinthians

Flamengo
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
Corinthians
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 25
Corinthians
2-1
Flamengo
Magno (26'), Romero (60')
Diaz (8'), Magno (20'), Andres Martinez (29'), Charles (48'), Romero (62'), Torres (90+3')
Alberto (90+5'), Caca (90+11')
Pedro (37' pen.)
Pulgar (7'), Lucas (17'), Rodrigues de Souza (65'), Moises de Lima (90+11')
Alcaraz (90+11')
May 11, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Flamengo
2-0
Corinthians
Pedro (20'), Lorran (63')
Pereira (63')

Romero (45+2')
Oct 8, 2023 1am
Gameweek 26
Corinthians
1-1
Flamengo
Santos (79' pen.)
Moscardo (33'), Verissimo (52'), Fagner (58')
Gerson (54')
Pulgar (41'), Pereira (77'), Henrique (90+4')
May 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Flamengo
1-0
Corinthians
Pereira (90+4')

Mendez (76'), Ramos (79')
Nov 3, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Flamengo
1-2
Corinthians
Franca (48')
Queiroz (43'), Alberto (75')
rhs 2.0
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