Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.