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Club Libertad
Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 8, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz

Libertad
1 - 0
Atletico Nacional

Baez (78')
Barboza (45'), Baez (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Banguero (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Club Libertad and Atletico Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 47%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Libertad in this match.

Result
Club LibertadDrawAtletico Nacional
47%25.12%27.87%
Both teams to score 53.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83%49.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76%71.24%
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05%20.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31%53.69%
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17%31.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73%68.27%
Score Analysis
    Club Libertad 47%
    Atletico Nacional 27.87%
    Draw 25.12%
Club LibertadDrawAtletico Nacional
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 8.15%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.67%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.63%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.87%

How you voted: Libertad vs Atletico Nacional

Club Libertad
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Atletico Nacional
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2019 12.30am
Third Stage
Atletico Nacional
1-0
Libertad
Libertad win 5-4 on penalties
Lucumi (34')
Lucumi (44'), Palacios (62'), Hernandez (86')

Rivero (13'), Bareiro (44'), Cardozo (56'), Cardozo (85'), Caceres (87')
Feb 22, 2019 12.30am
Third Stage
Libertad
1-0
Atletico Nacional
Cardozo (55')
Cougo (42'), Aquino (51'), Canale (78')

Hernandez (5'), Palacios (36'), Gomez (54')
rhs 2.0
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