MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 19:05:19| >> :60:624:624:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Sportivo Trinidense

Anselmino (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Riveros (27'), de la Cruz (63'), Benitez (73'), Gimenez (86'), Roman (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Boca Juniors and Sportivo Trinidense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-3 Boca Juniors
Saturday, April 6 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Sportivo Trinidense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 0-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 77.73%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 7.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.7%) and 3-0 (11.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawSportivo Trinidense
77.73% (-0.709 -0.71) 15.23% (0.531 0.53) 7.04% (0.1821 0.18)
Both teams to score 38.87% (-0.852 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.95% (-1.739 -1.74)44.06% (1.744 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.56% (-1.718 -1.72)66.44% (1.723 1.72)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.59% (-0.59 -0.59)9.42% (0.595 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.34% (-1.421 -1.42)31.66% (1.426 1.43)
Sportivo Trinidense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.91% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)57.09% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.91% (-0.369 -0.37)89.09% (0.37400000000001 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 77.72%
    Sportivo Trinidense 7.04%
    Draw 15.23%
Boca JuniorsDrawSportivo Trinidense
2-0 @ 15% (0.33 0.33)
1-0 @ 12.7% (0.62 0.62)
3-0 @ 11.81% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.98% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.212 -0.21)
5-0 @ 3.3% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.087 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.154 -0.15)
6-0 @ 1.3% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 77.72%
1-1 @ 7.12% (0.204 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.398 0.4)
2-2 @ 2.36% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 15.23%
0-1 @ 3.01% (0.165 0.17)
1-2 @ 2% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 7.04%

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