Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.