Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
54.54% ( 0) | 24.05% ( -0) | 21.41% |
Both teams to score 50.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.69% ( 0) | 50.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% ( 0) | 72.25% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.66% ( 0) | 18.34% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.55% ( 0) | 49.45% ( -0) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.92% | 38.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.16% | 74.84% |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 11.84% 2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.29% Total : 54.53% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |