Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.