Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.