MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 18:13:02| >> :600:2146046:2146046:
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Bournemouth logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Smith (67' og.)
Trippier (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cook (47')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United reach the EFL Cup quarter-finals after a 1-0 win over Bournemouth.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, December 17 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Everton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
58.62% (-3.634 -3.63) 21.09% (0.227 0.23) 20.29% (3.408 3.41)
Both teams to score 58.61% (5.724 5.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.18% (4.474 4.47)38.82% (-4.471 -4.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.86% (4.56 4.56)61.13% (-4.558 -4.56)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (0.34699999999999 0.35)12.99% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.49% (0.701 0.7)39.51% (-0.7 -0.7)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (6.335 6.34)32.64% (-6.334 -6.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (6.514 6.51)69.18% (-6.513 -6.51)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 58.62%
    Bournemouth 20.29%
    Draw 21.09%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-1.709 -1.71)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-1.816 -1.82)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-1.076 -1.08)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.621 0.62)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.502 -0.5)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.337 0.34)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 58.62%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.852 0.85)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.957 -0.96)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.417 0.42)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.775 0.78)
0-1 @ 4.75% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.35 0.35)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.595 0.6)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.564 0.56)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.267 0.27)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 20.29%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Newcastle United
73.9%
Draw
11.6%
Bournemouth
14.5%
138
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
King (48' pen., 81')
Lerma (19'), Ibe (45'), Daniels (83')
Rondon (45'), Ritchie (94')
Perez (9'), Hayden (75')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Newcastle
2-1
Bournemouth
Rondon (7', 40')
Schar (45'), Rondon (90')
Lerma (45')
Cook (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1311112681834
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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