MX23RW : Monday, January 20 23:09:50| >> :600:827938:827938:
Exeter City
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
St James Park
Swindon Town

Exeter
2 - 1
Swindon

Francis (65'), Aitchison (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cotterill (68')
Minturn (71'), Smith (78'), Delaney (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Exeter City and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Exeter City 1-0 Swindon Town

Keeping things tight in defence remains a major problem for Kennedy's Swindon, who ought to be fighting an uphill battle against an Exeter side revelling in a revenge win over Bolton. Changes on both ends may lead to a slightly low-key affair, but the Grecians still have our thumbs-up to get the job done on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawSwindon Town
34.94% (0.123 0.12) 24.98% (0.29 0.29) 40.08% (-0.41099999999999 -0.41)
Both teams to score 57.59% (-1.01 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.22% (-1.319 -1.32)45.78% (1.321 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.9% (-1.265 -1.27)68.09% (1.266 1.27)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (-0.55 -0.55)25.47% (0.551 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)60.31% (0.76 0.76)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (-0.77800000000001 -0.78)22.72% (0.779 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (-1.164 -1.16)56.39% (1.166 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 34.94%
    Swindon Town 40.08%
    Draw 24.97%
Exeter CityDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.92% (0.317 0.32)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.94%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.319 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.97%
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.58% (0.282 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.36% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.14% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.08%

How you voted: Exeter vs Swindon

Exeter City
82.8%
Draw
7.8%
Swindon Town
9.4%
64
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Swindon
0-1
Exeter
Wildschut (6')
Diabate (82'), Harper (83')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
3-1
Swindon
Brown (17'), Grounds (26'), Jay (81')
Payne (90+3')
Davison (25'), Iandolo (73')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
1-2
Exeter
Tomlinson (58')
Brown (84'), Dieng (88')
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Swindon
3-4
Exeter
Smith (61', 85'), Palmer (90+2')
Grant (43')
Kite (4'), Seymour (7' pen.), Atangana (63'), Hartridge (68')
Sweeney (78')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swindon
2-1
Exeter
Doyle (20'), Hope (45')
Doughty (63')
Williams (34')
Bowman (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!